2026-05-10
The most-traded market of the week was not the one anyone is writing about.
A short note on volume concentration, and what it does not tell us about belief.
A publication about prediction markets — the events they price, the people who trade them, and the methodologies that produce their numbers.
A quarterly almanac of unorthodox data, printed on uncoated stock, designed to be kept rather than recycled. Topics under consideration include the most-trafficked air routes of the year, the most-listened albums by region, the most-purchased domestic objects.
Liquidity-weighted composites of prediction-market data, computed across Polymarket and Kalshi. Built fee-adjusted, with documented resolution criteria for every contributing market.