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THE MAPPING LAYER · AS OF 2026-10-13

MMIConstituents

The canonical events feeding the figure, and the venue contracts mapped to each. Two contracts join the same event only where their resolution criteria agree; a flagged row carries a caveat from the engine, not a judgment from the page.

Recession risk
WEIGHT 50.0% · SOURCE PM · 1 CONTRACT
Polymarketrecession8¢
Rate path (cuts priced)
WEIGHT 25.0% · SOURCE PM · 1 CONTRACT
Polymarketrate-path0.05
Inflation (YoY %)
WEIGHT 5.6% · SOURCE FIAT · 1 CONTRACT
Fiatinflation3.35
Growth (nowcast %)
WEIGHT 5.6% · SOURCE FIAT · 1 CONTRACT
Fiatgrowth3.59
10y Treasury yield (%)
WEIGHT 2.8% · SOURCE FIAT · 1 CONTRACT
Fiatyields5.22
Broad dollar, YoY (%)
WEIGHT 2.8% · SOURCE FIAT · 1 CONTRACT
Fiatdollar1.08
WTI crude, YoY (%)
WEIGHT 2.8% · SOURCE FIAT · 1 CONTRACT
Fiatoil53.93
Financial conditions (NFCI)
WEIGHT 2.8% · SOURCE FIAT · 1 CONTRACT
Fiatconditions-0.49
Initial claims (weekly)
WEIGHT 2.8% · SOURCE FIAT · 1 CONTRACT
Fiatlabor—
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This page renders the mapping detail that publishes with each tick. The full mapping ledger (proposed candidates, resolution-criteria adjudication, and conflict review) is maintained in the pipeline and is not yet public. Methodology: how MMI is built →

Mensor Macro Index

Forthcoming

This index is built and in final review. It opens to readers shortly.

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