← All indices
GEOPOLITICS / CONFLICT RISK · SUBINDEX OF MGRI

MGRI-TAIWANMensor Taiwan Corridor Index

MGRI-TAIWANMensor Taiwan Corridor Index
Calm6.6+0.0 · 24h · ±9.4
0–100 · higher = more geopolitical escalation / instability · bands: Calm / Low / Elevated / High / Severeas of Thu, 11 Jun 2026 23:56:13 UTC · published series
WHAT IT MEASURES

The Taiwan corridor — strait, blockade, and cross-strait election markets read across venues.

RECENT CHANGES

2026-06-10
China invades Taiwan by end of 2026 — escalation
ADDED

Composition changes from the daily reconstitution pass. The divisor keeps the published series continuous through every change.

CONSTITUENTS

What feeds the figure at last compute — market prices in cents, indicator values in their natural unit, and the component weight.

GEO-TAIWAN-INVASION-20261 contract
567621Polymarket100.0%

The Mensor reads the market; it does not take positions in it. MGRI-TAIWAN is a measurement, not a forecast and not a tradable product. Prediction-market prices are risk-neutral and approximate probabilities.