← MGRI-TAIWAN
THE MAPPING LAYER · AS OF 2026-10-13

MGRI-TAIWANConstituents

The canonical events feeding the figure, and the venue contracts mapped to each. Two contracts join the same event only where their resolution criteria agree; a flagged row carries a caveat from the engine, not a judgment from the page.

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?risk 8%
CORRIDOR TAIWAN · ESCALATORY · WEIGHT 50.0% · 1 VENUE · DEPTH $3,526 · DISPERSION 0.000 · 1 CONTRACT
Polymarket1811266 · resolves on exact8¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?risk 5%
CORRIDOR TAIWAN · ESCALATORY · WEIGHT 50.0% · 1 VENUE · DEPTH $574 · DISPERSION 0.000 · 1 CONTRACT
Polymarket677407 · resolves on exact5¢
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This page renders the mapping detail that publishes with each tick. The full mapping ledger (proposed candidates, resolution-criteria adjudication, and conflict review) is maintained in the pipeline and is not yet public. Methodology: how MGRI-TAIWAN is built →

Mensor Taiwan Corridor Index

Forthcoming

This index is built and in final review. It opens to readers shortly.

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